Atlantic Hurricane Season’s Weakest Start In 30 Years; + Odd Magnetism Beneath The Sun
Atlantic Hurricane Season’s Weakest Start In 30 Years
Back in May, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center predicted an “above-average hurricane activity year”. The agency’s outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, which extends from June 1 to Nov 30, saw a 65% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season, and a 10% chance of a below-normal season.
For the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane season, NOAA expected as many as 21 named storms (winds of 39 mph or higher), of which 10 could become hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher), including as many as 6 major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5; with winds of 111 mph or higher). NOAA provided these ranges with a 70% confidence.
Such mainstream predictions, however, are always predicated on a failing global warming hypotheses, a narrative that calls for linearly rising global temperatures, less snowfall, and increased storms.
Also, and to appease their AGW Party backers, the likes of NOAA completely sidestep the biggest forcing of them all –solar activity– and as a result, reality routinely proves their forecasts and outlooks spectacularly wrong, whether that be for temperature, snowfall, or, as in this case, hurricanes.
It’s now late-August of 2022 and the year’s Atlantic Hurricane Season has been the slowest ‘non-starter’ in 30 years–even longer by other metrics (I’ll get into that below). Not only is NOAA being proven wrong, they are, once again, being proven spectacularly wrong.
Powerful hurricanes last for days and enable massive transfer of energy (charge rebalancing) between the ionosphere and the Earth’s surface. So the main energetic source for major hurricanes is the electric potential difference between the Earth and its ionosphere. Reduced solar activity means a less (positively) charged ionosphere which means reduced electric potential difference between the ionosphere and the Earth which means less frequent category 5 hurricanes.
NOAA don’t appear to understand this–at least they don’t express this understanding publicly–hence their 10% forecast for a below average hurricane season during a time of historically low solar activity (the combined lowest for 200 years).
A key metric meteorologists use to gauge a season’s activity has flatlined. As of Aug 20, the 2022 hurricane season’s ‘ACE Index’ is pacing the lowest of any year since 1992, according to Kim Wood, associate professor at Mississippi State University:
Moreover, and as pointed out on Twitter by Colorado State University tropical scientist Phil Klotzbach, this is also the first time in 40 years that no named storms formed between July 3 – August 22 in the Atlantic Basin:
Keep in mind, though, a slow-starting hurricane season does not necessarily mean the rest of the season will be a dud.
Among the five other seasons in the satellite era (since 1966) that were considered slow-starters (as shown in Dr Wood’s tweet) one was 1992, yet by Aug 22, 1992, ‘Andrew’ became a hurricane and slammed into South Florida; prior to that, after 1988’s slow start, ‘Gilbert’ developed into the most intense Atlantic Basin hurricane at the time before slamming Cancún and NE Mexico; while hurricanes ‘Diana,’ ‘Anita’ and ‘Beulah’ each developed shortly after early-season slumbers in 1984, 1977 and 1967, respectively.
Time will tell, as it tends to do — but so far, as of late-Aug, NOAA have been proven SPECTACULARLY wrong.
Odd Magnetism Beneath The Sun
Activity has been quiet on the sun in recent days, particularly given the fact that we’re approaching solar maximum (within the 11-year cycle) which is expected to peak in 2024.
And barring the odd minor flaring, space weather is forecast to remain calm for the time being, at least for the next week-or-so; no CMEs are coming, and the next solar wind stream isn’t expected to reach Earth until August 29.
Despite the quiet, a new sunspot (provisionally numbered AR3088) is emerging in the sun’s southern hemisphere; however, something is off about it — observers have noted that its magnetic field is not normal:
The sunspot, as shown in the above Solar Dynamics Observatory map of magnetic fields, should have its magnetic poles arranged +/-, that is, positive (+) on the left and negative (-) on the right. Instead, however, and going against Hale’s Law, they are rotated 90 degrees with positive (+) on top and negative (-) is on the bottom.
This is a rare ‘perpendicular sunspot,’ with magnetic poles orthogonal to the sun’s equator.
What’s going on?
“Something unusual may be happening to the sun’s magnetic dynamo beneath the surface where this sunspot is growing,” postulates Dr Tony Philips of spaceweather.com. “We’ll keep an eye on AR3088 to see what happens next,” he concludes.
Stay tuned for updates.
The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activity, cloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).
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28 Thoughts to “Atlantic Hurricane Season’s Weakest Start In 30 Years; + Odd Magnetism Beneath The Sun”
Great pick for a topic, Cap!
“Since the start of the satellite era in 1960, there were only two years, 1997 and 1961, when there were no named storms in August. ”
“Should the Atlantic remain without a named tropical system into early September, the record of consecutive days during the middle of a tropical season with no named systems set in 1999 could be broken. That record of 61 days in 1999 spanned June 19 through Aug. 17.”
This data supports comments in the previous article to this one of something
occurring to the climate in the 97-98-99 era. Remember there was an unusual
El Nino at that time also supporting a temp spike globally.
That would predict a rebound El Nino next year after this very unusual 3 year streak of La Ninas. If it doesn’t happen, it means something has definitely changed, possibly the Hunga Tonga effect. Let’s see what happens!!
Question: How do the + & – fields of the sunspots relate to the N/S poles on earth?
With regard to the solar polarity, I remember Maria Zarkova explaining there are 4 magnetic cores in the sun and only 2 of them are usually out of sync in Solar Minimas, but that all 4 would be out of alignment in the upcoming Grand Solar Minimum consequently the outcome would be so much more severe.
I have been wondering lately if the “Chem trails” could be an attempt to reflect some of the incoming space radiation in times of a weakened magnetosphere as a way of reducing climate impacts.
There have been excessive “trails” where I live lately and I read some official applications from Yale and other revered institutions where they explained purpose and method for weather modification.
Since we know, at least electroverse readers do, it is that climate is already is cooling there would be no reason to accelerate that trend.
Last week we had excessive “chem trails” over SW Florida.
It was spectacular as two of them made a big X in the sky that could be seen from space. Too close to my house for comfort.
It rained hard the next day also.
As regards “ODD MAGNETISM BENEATH THE SUN” the timing on this is suspicious. On keeping track of the two nearest stars micro-nova’s, along with the changes in the outer planets it was evident that something big was to happen in Jan 2022. The changes had occurred every 6 months, and Planet Earth was due at that time. I predicted this but not strongly as I had done the Texas Freeze phenomena in Feb 2021. I have no post to point to in other words. The evidence seemed solid but the definition of “something big” was vague and undefinable. The something big turned out to be Hunga Tonga. With that surprise, being somewhat stuck on it, no thought was given to “something big” happening to the sun from the same unknown cause.
Now given that Mars is some 150 Million miles from the sun compared to 93 Million miles for earth a six month travel from Mars to Earth would translate to 9 months from earth to sun. With a lot of slack in the calculations this is what we have now with this weird sunspot with no explanation.
This may be the something big for the sun, leading credence to the prediction of the grid down solar flare in another six months!!!
“the mid latitudes are refreezing/” lmfao
so: @Jopeck: Do we have LESS snow now?
Do we have linearly (hockey stick) global rising?
Why has France wine country in the early spring of this year use many vineyard heaters to preserve the vines / grapes? See if the availability of wines decreases because of FALLING temps, see if the COST of wine INCREASES due to production costs, and please investigate how the COOLER weather and RAINSTORMS slowed down planting here in the US.
“.Such mainstream predictions, however, are always predicated on a failing global warming hypotheses, a narrative that calls for linearly rising global temperatures, less snowfall, and increased storms.”
SO: your “lmfao”…Mother Nature will have the last laugh. You don’t play with Mother Nature.
The more answers of this ‘Jopeck’ type we have, it means we’re on the right track. 🙂
A sock puppet/troll detection algorithm on virtual spaces
Probably brought to you by the same people who brought you trolls/sock puppets.
They are nothing if not convoluted in their thinking.
Ya but I’m a secular troll watcher working for the “good guys” like Cap’n Quix Draw.
Is eradicating PC part of your job description?
No hurricanes or typhoons listed anywhere as I type this.
Sea temps just not there yet:
Mercury in retrograde then we go by Jupiter:
I WAS WONDERONG WHAT the magnetic poles have to do with anything. Just curios if anyone could explain it to me.
Cap…what does ‘odd’ magnetism mean? And can the coming pole flip be of great concern?
Thank you for all of your info and hard work Sir!
they activate the human plan, the one of the oligarchs, always before the cosmic geophysical mess, it is the same plan since millenniums, not only they will accentuate the damages of the climatic cycles and will hide them to the people by giving human causes to the disasters; in front of these geoclimatic disasters they need to implement before the chaos rigid social structures to control and orient the masses and in the end the survivors. …honestly I don’t know if I would want to be part of it; humanly speaking it’s done, only the intervention of divine forces can counter their plan, especially since they are helped by occult forces,
Cap: you have saved our garden the last few years and we appreciate that! The local weather forecast is a guess at the most, and they miss it most (ly). They are still on the old carbon dioxide sled (downhill).
nicole kidman …just a coincidence ? no ?…http://pseudoccultmedia.blogspot.com
A “dud” of a hurricane season to us here in Florida is a great blessing! We’ll take all we can get! There’s no worse feeling than being in the path of an approaching cat. 4 or 5… Yes, we could move, but this is Florida!
The only potential tropical storm I see will be on 4 sept near Puerto Rico, the first real hurricane of the year that comes near land. Very silent year indeed!
Cambridge-Nature mag: Let’s PREVENT volcanic super-eruptions, but not the fast way*! “Research should be undertaken to assess if it is possible to manipulate the magma or surrounding rocks to moderate eruption explosivity”. https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-022-02177-x
I heard of a fella once who advocated capping underwater volcanos.
Nathan Rothschild was a financial adviser to the Duke of Wellington in the 1820s and up until his death in 1834. He also cultivated relationships with a number of prominent Tories, and provided them with access to cash.31 d
why we can do against that ?
It takes 205 million years for our solar system to travel around the milky way and during this time we have no idea what types of forces it encounters.
For me magnetism is one of the universes strongest forces and I and many others speculate that our magnetic poles will reverse when they encounter great forces in the solar system/neighborhood.
At this point its almost elementary beyond proving WHAT is doing it. We know there are magnetic fields that actually connect galaxies.
Our it could be a massive planet or another massive sun, many possibilities but whats very clear now is our planet is about to go through a magnetic pole reversal.
I might even bet the elites know and thats why we have the genocide taking place masquerading as a vaccine. And the shortages would be many of them gobbling up supplies for whats coming.
Our solar system has made roughly 23 or so circles around the milky way.
Its too obvious for me now that this has been the cause of great climate change on earth, like what happened 42000 years ago when the neanderthals went extinct.