How The Greenland Ice Sheet ‘REALLY’ Fared This Year

The Greenland ice sheet’s melt season is over, bringing the 2021-2022 season to a close. Below I take a deep-dive into how the poster boy for global warming fared over the past 12-months.

‘Surface’ Mass Balance

Greenland’s ice sheet gains snow and ice from September through to the following June, and then, as temperatures climb with onset of late-Spring, begins to lose more ice through surface melt than it gains from fresh snowfall. This is known as ‘the melt season’, which generally lasts until the end of August, with snow gains minus ice losses called the ‘Surface Mass Balance’ (SMB).

The map below, courtesy of the Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI), plots the SMB over the past 12-months.

The blue line in the upper chart shows the day-to-day SMB (in Gigatons), while the blue line in the lower chart depicts the accumulated SMB (again, in Gts), from the beginning of the season (Sept 1 2021). The grey line is the multidecadal average.


This year –that is, Sept 1 2021 to Aug 31 2022– the Greenland ice sheet achieved a Surface Mass Balance of approximately 471Gt, ranking it as the 10th highest SMB year in data extending back to 1981.

2022 Melt Season

The summer of 2022 was anomalously cold and snowy across Greenland and was book-ended by huge snowfall events.

The first came in June, delaying the melt season by 17-days vs the 1981-2021 median; and the second brought seasonal melting to an abrupt stop in mid-August after a record-breaking 20bn tonnes (Gt) of snow accumulated on the south of the island.

This summer chimed with last years; that is, it was characterized by several monstrous, record-smashing snowfall events. Fresh snow reflects sunlight better than the old, darker glacial ice underneath; and as a result, the onset of melting, which is defined as the first day of three days in a row where the SMB is less than -1Gt, was on June 30, two-and-a-half weeks later than normal.

The end of August 2022 was then marked by truly mammoth snow event. More than 8Gts was added on Aug 30 alone, an unprecedented amount for summer–visualized below by the dramatic-looking ‘spike’ at the end of the DMI’s SMB chart:

The reason for these persistently cold and wet conditions across the Greenland ice sheet is linked to “atmospheric blocking”–a phenomenon shown to increase during times of low solar activity (such as the historically low output we’re experiencing now).

For much of the summer, a high-pressure blocking system stalled over Western Europe, leading to many nations experiencing record-breaking heatwaves. And far out to the west, across the pond, blocking systems also formed over Western Canada and the US. These setups altered the jet stream’s flow, reverting its usual straight (zonal) course to a wavy (meridional) one. The jet effectively ‘buckled’ with Greenland situated in the middle, on the ‘upper’ side of a southerly-plunging jet which saw it subject to influxes of frigid Arctic air; while, conversely, W Europe and the US found themselves located ‘below’ a northerly-arching jet, meaning they were open to rising tropical warm.

Map showing cold weather in Greenland and heat over North America/Western Europe in mid-July 2022 [DMI]. Note also the descending chills in Scandinavia and Eastern Europe/Western Russia (also Alaska and Northern Siberia).

The below graphic aims to clarify the general setup.

And as hinted at above, the prevalence of this ‘wavy’ jet stream setup increases during times of low solar activity. In short, with less energy entering the system, the usually-rigid west-to-east flowing jet weakens and its shape becomes Omega (Ω) or ‘meridional’. It is this mechanism –or more specifically its upshot, i.e. erratic weather patterns– that today’s activist-scientists broadly label ‘climate change’: A weakened jet stream caused by low solar activity.

MSM Obfuscation

Refocusing on Greenland, despite this year’s ‘healthy’ melt season, obfuscation was abound across the mainstream media.

CNN wrote the following in July 20 article: “The amount of ice that melted in Greenland between July 15 and 17 was enough to fill 7.2 million Olympic-sized swimming pools, or cover the entire state of West Virginia with a foot of water.”

They even have a quote from cLiMaTe ScIeNtIsT Ted Scambos: “The northern melt this past week is not normal, looking at 30 to 40 years of climate averages. But melting has been on the increase, and this event was a spike in melt.”

CNN is screaming about this period of melting (circled below):


I’ve already given you the data regarding the season as a whole.

The audacity of CNN to claim that the 2022 melt season was in anyway alarming is cherry-picking obfuscation at best and outright fraud at worst. Even the staunchest of AGW proponents must see this–the propaganda can’t be that blinding, surely?

‘Total’ Mass Balance

The ‘Surface’ Mass Balance (SMB) is just one of three components when it comes to determining an ice sheet’s overall ‘health’ –its ‘Total’ Mass Balance (TMB)– with the others being the ‘Marine’ Mass Balance (MMB) and the “Basal’ Mass Balance (BMB).

In Greenland’s case, the MMB consists of the breaking off –or ‘calving’– of icebergs as well as the melting of glaciers that meet the warmer sea water. While the BMB, although largely unimpactful, refers to ice losses from the base of the ice sheet mainly caused by frictional effects and ground heat flux.

The components of the Total Mass Balance going back to 1987 are shown below — CNN pay close heed. The SMB is shown in blue, the MMB in green, the BMB in yellow and, most importantly, the TMB is marked in red.

Chart showing the surface (blue), marine (green), basal (yellow) and total (red) mass balances for 1987 to 2022 (in Gt p/year). Credit: Mankoff et al. (2021–updated to include 2022).

This is the official data. Every news outlet has access to it. And what it unambiguously shows is, well, not a lot, certainly nothing to write home about, and most-certainly nothing ‘catastrophic’.

The TMB (red line) did indeed decrease between 1996 to 2012; however, the trend has very clearly shifted since then, to one of overall growth. This is more clearly depicted in the next chart (which doesn’t yet include 2022’s higher reading):

Now, I’m not sat here scratching my head pondering why the MSM works so desperately hard to obfuscate. I’m not naive. Unalarming Greenland data does not serve the doom and gloom agenda and reporting on it honestly on would risk stopping the intravenous-dispensation of fear that requires constantly administering to the masses in order to be effective, in order to force through their controlled demolition of society–that now appears fully underway.

This is what the MSM are tasked with nowadays, perhaps it has always been the case — a population forever scared, always looking over their shoulder for the next ‘catastrophe’ that threatens to upend and ruin them are far easier to keep under the thumb, to marshal, to own, to control. It’s a travesty.

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19 Thoughts to “How The Greenland Ice Sheet ‘REALLY’ Fared This Year”

  1. Dwayne

    The Greenland “coal mine canary” is singing bright and merrily.
    The world wants to close the coal mine because of what might happen.
    What AGW crowd wishes to do to world energy is going to be much worse than warming “might” possibly do. The world will suffer poverty, famine, and shortages of almost any necessity and comfort item when their energy agenda is fully implemented.
    Thank you Cap for keeping the light of science and truth burning.

  2. Deb

    I had to turn on a heater this morning for the first time. It always feels like a defeat, somehow, but esp since I was running the AC 24/7 up until 5 or 6 days ago, then running it during the day til 3 days ago. So I got about 3 days without the big power draw.

    Eventually I hope to rely on wood for heat, but if the grid goes down, the first summer will probably kill me. Never did handle the heat well, was hoping the GSM would mean milder summers, but I don’t think anyone foresaw the meridional jetstream…

    Unless I can reach a higher altitude in the summer, but I’d have to travel at least 1000 miles to get to any real mountains–one of the things I always disliked about Missouri. Well, it’s all in the hands of God and anyway, nobody gets out alive, not even Bill Gates et al.

    1. Michael Peinsipp

      Two days ago it was 94°F.
      Last nite it was 45°F.
      Ac to closed windows and small heater.
      And we have a wood stove and plenty wood.
      Stay WARM Deb!!!

      1. Deb

        Thanks! I’m hoping the grid will stay up this winter. I should have a woodstove in the motorhome soon, but that thing is usually colder than the outside air temp!

        I intend to attach foamboard insulation to the inside walls, but I won’t get to it before this winter hits, most likely. It’s going to take some time to stockpile enough firewood for a whole winter, too.

        Hope the end of the world holds off another year at least, lol!

        How do you wring a spellchecker’s neck?!

        1. Deb

          “That thing” = motorhome, not woodstove, lol.

          1. Robert

            Steel structures usually sit 5C below ambient temperature – I used to slepp in a steel and metal cladding sleepout years ago and that thing was always a walk in freezer in winter. For this coming summer, can you dig below ground? Dugouts are usually much cooler than above ground in summer.
            Best regards from Australia.

            1. Robert

              Errr – Sleep…

            2. Deb

              Can’t afford a backhoe. My property is formed from rocks of all different sizes with a little soil in between to hold them together–no digging permitted. Everything I do here is on top the ground, eg: raised gardens. It’s in a good location, tho, and if everything doesn’t go to Hades in a handbasket in the next couple years, I should be able to sell it at a profit and start over again farther out with real soil and real utilities–I hope!

              I would dearly love to have a root cellar.

  3. Martin

    First day Spring with Snow South Brazil (Urubici-SC)
    Where is AGW? Snow isn’t a thing of the past!!
    Next night will be frosted and could reach -5…-7°C there. 🙌🧊🌻❄

  4. Church Lady Logos

    For all the other Church Ladies not up on what’s happening with the globalist’s main weapons/plans/operations… the best course of action is to just keep on prayin’ because it’s all in the hands of God and anyway, nobody [er… actually there’s always been a few during previous GSM/mag/rev ice age (mini/maxi) eugenics ops… likely the more rational, secular, thinking types] gets out alive.

    The Rise of Nano Mafia: Nanotech Jabs/Drinks for Depopulation/Control/Transhumanism | Dr. L. Merritt


    GQ EMF-390 Multi-Field Electromagnetic Radiation 3-in-1 EMF ELF Meter RF Spectrum Analyzer Ghost, Cell Tower Smart meter hidden Wifi Spy Camera Signal bug Detector RF up to 10Gig with data logger [as was previous;y recommended by Mark Steele] Being able to electronically “see” the environmental radiation and also “see” in the dark and also “see” the reality will likely be essential “natural selection” survival tools.

    Russian Nukes Can Be Used To Defend Annexed Ukraine Regions, Kremlin Warns
    – Sep 23, 2022
    Russia has announced that not only mobilization capabilities, but also any Russian weapons, including strategic nuclear weapons and weapons based on new [occult, not religious, Sassy, physics] principles, could be used for such protection.

    Dubyne [Mini Ice Age Conversations] – 2022-09-22 [login: revradio pswd: rocks!]

  5. AZ1971

    Hurricane Fiona is headed straight towards Greenland in a few days. Expect the charts on melt and snowfall totals to go absolutely bonkers when it does.

    1. Balboa

      I made a comment like this yesterday, In some places there will be snow but in Nuuk temps are 48 degrees F, so well above temps for snow. Could just end up being a big rain event thus a big melt event. I am sure in some locations there will be lots of snow and high elevation snows. Could just be a washout.

      1. Matt Dalby

        Places such as Nuuk aren’t on the ice cap, so what happens there doesn’t affect the surface mass balance. Even if temperatures on the ice cap are well above average as is forecast for the next few days and some of the precipitation falls as rain instead of snow, it could still lead to an increase in mass if the water percolates into the ice and freezes rather than just following off the surface and down to the sea.

  6. FYI

    Something Going on in China; Military Convoy, 80km Long, Headed to Beijing

    The Cell(ular) We’re All Headed To – by end of 2022 twenty (20) Billion [AI] Data Collection Cameras installed ww [Manned Surveillance is now old tech]

    Scandal At Vanderbilt: Mutilating Children…For Profit! by The Ron Paul Liberty Report
    The root gateway acceptance of Church Lady {both m/f) Abrahamic genital mutilation )m/f) and overt religious Abrahamic child sacrifice allows for the later acceptance of transgender genital mutilation and state and medical mafia sanctioned eugenical murder/genocide for profit. Society is were it is from (including barbaric) choices made in the past and continued into the present.

    1. Deb

      I’m really going to miss freedom of speech, even yours.

    1. Homo Erectus

      Where is getting its data? – lol – as gay as

      Search for these headlines.
      Deliberate ignorance: How we avoid information and why it’s sometimes useful to do so
      Radicalized and believing in conspiracies: Can the cycle be broken?
      Private messages contribute to the spread of COVID-19 conspiracies
      Belief in conspiracy theories makes people more likely to engage in low-level crime
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      Conspiracy theorists actively seek out their online communities.
      Why do people believe conspiracy theories? Is it because of who they are, what they’ve encountered, or a combination of both?
      The answer is important. Belief in conspiracy theories helps fuel climate change denial, anti-vaccination stances, racism, and distrust of the media and science.
      In a paper published today, we shed light on the online world of conspiracy theorists, by studying a large set of user comments.
      Our key findings are that people who eventually engage with conspiracy forums differ from those who don’t in both where and what they post. The patterns of difference suggest they actively seek out sympathetic communities,

  7. Michael Hulme

    You quote Mankoff et al. In fact that research does show catastrophic shrinkage (approx 6000 gigatonnes) since 1980. Your graph shows the annual “change” which in the last two years has indeed dropped (ie a reduction in shrinkage), but still shows 100-300 GT a year fall or mass shrinkage. There is no “regrowth” going on at all.

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