NASA “Climate Prophet” James Hansen Proclaimed The Arctic Would Be “Free of Summer Ice” by 2018

[Article originally published on on Aug 2, 2020]

Bolstered by the sycophantic-praise he received following his 1988 Congressional testimony on man-made global warming, NASA activist-scientist James Edward Hansen continued his prophesies well into the 2000s despite his ever-growing list of climatic fails.

“The greenhouse effect is here,” pronounced doomsayer Hansen back on June 23, 1988; and “We’re [still] toast,” he repeated with a straight face 20 years later, in 2008.

In preparation for his 1988 Congressional testimony, Hansen produced three potential scenarios regarding the future trend for global average temperatures:

A) “Business As Usual” — if human’s did nothing regarding rising CO2 levels.

B) If we “moderately” reduced CO2 emissions.

C) If atmospheric carbon dioxide was reduced to year 2000 levels.

Real-world observations reveal Hansen’s projections were way off with scenarios A and B significantly over-predicting the warming trend.

Digging into the data, A overstates CO2 and other greenhouse gas growth and rejects against the observations; Scenario B slightly understates CO2 growth, overstates methane and CFCs and zeroes-out other greenhouse gas growth, and it too significantly overstates the warming.

The scenario that best-matches the observations is C — the one where Hansen has CO2 topping-out at 368 ppm in 2000 but then sees it fixed at that level thereafter–something that obviously didn’t happen. It’s this drastic “halt the industrial revolution” scenario that ended up with a warming trend most like the real-world observations.

Here is one thought, proposed by climate scientist John Christy:

Suppose Hansen had offered a Scenario D, in which greenhouse gases continue to rise, but after the 1990s they have very little effect on the climate. That would play out similarly in his modeled Scenario C, and it would match the data — this hypothetical Scenario D is the reality we’re living today.

James Edward Hansen is still considered a “climate prophet” by many, but his 1988 scenarios simply DO NOT FIT THE DATA.

And while on the topic of abject public failures, let’s look at Hansen’s Arctic sea ice predictions. Back in 2008, he claimed that within just “five to 10 years, the Arctic will be free of sea ice in the summer”:

In reality, though–rather than abstract computer modelling–ten years after Hansen made his ice-free prophesy, Arctic sea ice volume was up 7% and melting at the slowest rate on record, according to Danish Meteorological Institute (DMI) data:


How anyone proved so wrong for so long can still garner the praise and accolades that James Hansen does is testament to the agenda at play.

Depressing, though, the political Juggernaut that is Anthropogenic Global Warming will keep-on-rolling for as long it’s needed, and the ever-growing posse of the poor and ill-informed will continue following that Pied Piper into the Hamelin cave where any and all self-respect and ability to think-critically is never to be seen again.

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12 Thoughts to “NASA “Climate Prophet” James Hansen Proclaimed The Arctic Would Be “Free of Summer Ice” by 2018”

  1. Bwana Neusi

    Great to some of your earlier articles Cap.

  2. Mystic’s Mystic

    Shouldn’t a long list of names be started to bring false prophets to Justice.
    If the GSM theory holds up and the death tole is as staggering as some think it might be. False prophets and greedy government officials like Biden the butcher need to pay the price. What they are doing isn’t just a money making prank. It is encouraging lack of life saving preparation on the part of God’s earthly peoples.

    1. WB

      They will drag this out until the creators of this farce are in the grave or considered
      senile, like Biden. No one will want to beat up on the old people with SMI. Where’s your compassion people.
      The politicians have done a pretty good job of insulating themselves behind reinforced compounds and armed guards, which we pay for! And taxpayer jets to whisk them away at the first signs of trouble. (Anyone know where Trudeau went during the Trucker-farmer protests?)

  3. EN2 SS

    Why do you still use the fascist spelling of “globull”? ;-))

    1. John Galt

      I have not found that spelling used in this day’s climate article.

    2. Gull_Bakaat

      It’s “globull warbling”. BTW… I’m an anti-fascist. Antifa is fascist… ergo…

  4. Wizard

    Fred Goldberg;


    The guy is old school and he managed to stay out of most examining views

  5. Zarathu

    While your understanding of the AGW phenomena is adequate, your understanding of Geo-politics and Demographic issues is non-existent.

    I would suggest that you take the time to read Peter Zeihan’s book THE END OF THE WORLD IS JUST THE BEGINNING, to get an understanding of how things really work and a historical view that goes back 11,000 years.

    1. Cap Allon

      Where are Geo-politic and Demographic issues mentioned in this article…?

  6. Dallas Schneider

    I wonder what the real reasons are they have such an addiction to CO2?

    It’s easy to see the oil companies want it when you know it will remove the remaining 60% of non-producible oil from the ground with CO2 injection.
    But what else do they have in mind? That alone would not give reason to spend billions to remove it from the atmosphere for instance.

    The main item I come up with is Mars exploration. With it’s 98% CO2 atmosphere will they convert the Red Planet into the Green Planet?
    If so, they will need some heat as 25% of that CO2 freezes into dry ice each year. Where is the Globull Warbling there?

  7. Deb

    I did several small videos on my garden, which consists mostly of container gardening. I also have a 3-tier, LED lighted indoor vertical garden with some examples of lush greens I grew.

    I uploaded those to my youtube channel. Here is the link to the first one:

    Every little bit helps when it comes to food. Grow it however you can. I especially like the idea of fresh greens and herbs year round inside to supplement dried, canned and frozen stored foods.

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