Earth’s climate system is unfathomably complex. Only a small percentage of the variables have been factored into the UN-funded models. A machine is only as good as the person that built it.
A new research paper has found ‘real world’ temperature differences in the Eastern Pacific Ocean that vary wildly from what the climate models say should be happening.
The study also suggests that La Niñas –the colder counterpart of El Niños– could keep on coming, adding to the climatic woes that the phenomenon delivers, which is to say harsher winters for much of the Northern Hemisphere, and heavy precipitation for the likes of Australia.
The global warming hypothesis favors El Niños, it always has.
The models decreed that El Niño’s would be the dominate ENSO pattern moving forward, correlating with rising global temperatures; the cold, deep ocean waters off South America were expected to rise to the surface, meet milder air and heat faster than the warmer ocean off Asia; this, in turn, would then decrease the temperature difference across the tropical Pacific and lighten the surface winds blowing toward Indonesia — aka, a El Niño setup.
Historical climate records confirm that during prior warm spells, Earth’s climate was more El Niño-like.
In recent years, however, La Niñas have been the dominant setup. In fact, the Northern Hemisphere is about to endure its third consecutive La Niña winter, something that has only occurred four times since 1900, and only twice since 1950.
So what’s going on? Is Earth now cooling?
The recent study, ‘Systematic Climate Model Biases in the Large-Scale Patterns of Recent Sea-Surface Temperature and Sea-Level Pressure Change’, looked at temperatures at the surface of the ocean recorded by ships and buoys from 1979 to 2020.
It was discovered that the Pacific Ocean off South America had actually cooled over that time, along with ocean regions farther south, too. This cannot be explained by the climate models. To put it delicately, big pieces of the puzzle are missing.
The upshot of this ‘unexpected’ reality is that the temperature difference between the eastern and western Pacific has grown, instead of shrunk as was prophesied; the surface winds blowing toward Indonesia have strengthened, not weakened; and residents of the NH are enduring their third consecutive La Niña winter, instead of its warmer counterpart, El Niño.
The climate models –that our ‘betters’ base their world-reshaping policy decisions on– have gotten it entirely backwards.
The researchers openly admit that they don’t know why this pattern is happening. Lead author Robert Wills, a UW research scientist in atmospheric sciences, said his team are now exploring possible links to the Antarctic ocean, which is also cooling.
“There’s something about the regional variation, the spatial pattern of warming in the tropical oceans, that is off,” said Wills, of the models. “If it turns out to be natural long-term cycles, maybe we can expect it to switch in the next five to ten years, but if it is a long-term trend due to some processes that are not well represented in the climate models, then it would be longer. Some mechanisms have a switch that would happen over the next few decades, but others could be a century or longer,” he added.
Let that sink in…
Also note that the study only ran to 2020, so didn’t have the data for the two most-recent La Nina winters where a further intensification of the cooling has been noted.
Honest climate scientists admit that there are serious issues with the models, the biggest being ‘clouds’ — they simply haven’t properly accounted for them/don’t understand them.
“All models are wrong, but some models are useful,” so the quote goes. Well, thus far, climate models are seemingly only useful for pushing warped, antihuman, globalist agendas — they have provenly failed in every other regard.