Record Cold Samoa; “Dramatic Weather Change” For Swathes Of Europe; Surprise August Snow Hits China’s NE Mountains; + Sun

Record Cold Samoa

Last week, a rare August cool spell gripped Oceania, impacting, among other locales, tropical islands north of 15S.

Niue, for example, dropped to 14.3C (57.7F); Tonga to 14.8C (58.6F); but rarer still were the chills in Samoa — the 16.6C (61.9F) observed at the nation’s Faleolo International Airport and the two consecutive sub 20C (68F) readings at Pago Pago hadn’t been witnessed for some 33 years, since 1989.


“Dramatic Weather Change” For Swathes Of Europe

Increasing cloud cover and a stark temperature drop will be the story for much of Europe this week.

Heavy rains are expected on the Mediterranean coasts and the wider Iberian region, with cold stretching as far east as Russia.

According to Meteored, a cold front from Greenland–forecast to show its full impact from Sunday onwards–will bring rains and lower temperatures to Western Europe, while a separate, punishing Arctic front will take care of Eastern Europe.

A “dramatic weather change” is how surinenglish.com has reported it.

European’s have everything crossed for a mild, uneventful winter of 2022/23–given the continent’s ongoing energy crisis–and these next 7-10 days are set to deliver an early taster of that looming seasonal change, particularly for those in the far-West and the East, and also for residents of the Balkans–a region on for a sharp cool down starting Friday, Sept 2 (see GFS below).

Winter can seem a long way off during the dog days of summer, but now is the time to prepare.

GFS 2m Temperature Anomalies (C) Sept 2 [tropicaltidbits.com].


As discussed yesterday, global climatic phenomena are conspiring to deliver the complete opposite of what EU authorities are praying for: The unprecedented stratospheric cooling event currently intensifying in the entire Southern Hemisphere will have knock-on effects for the north, and a fiercely frigid winter season looks to be on the cards for Europe and North America alike:


The Farmers’ Almanacs–both of them–are also in agreement.

This is going to be a “Hibernation” winter for most, “Glacial” and also “Snow-Filled”, too:


The Farmers’ Almanac

The Farmer’s Almanac 2022-2023 winter season is calling for record-breaking cold temperatures of -40F.


The Old Farmer’s Almanac

The Old Farmers’ Almanac predicts cold conditions for many with widespread snow.


Surprise August Snow Hits China’s NE Mountains

Central/Southern China has endured a punishingly hot summer, heat that pushed the country’s energy infrastructure to breaking-point–China’s own energy crisis–with rolling blackouts becoming a routine occurrence as supplies struggled to cope.

On the flip side, northern China has been holding remarkable cold in recent months with impressive dumpings of summer snow clipping the region’s higher elevations.

This week, Northeast China’s Changbai Mountains witnessed a surprise blast of summer snowfall. These peaks, while rebound for holding onto their snow base all year long, are not accustomed to adding to the base during the month of August — this is an incredibly rare feat, one that “surprised visitors”, according to local media reports.


Additionally, this surprise snow has hit off the back of the rare summer flakes that accumulated last week, too:


Looking ahead, Northern China’s ‘blues’ are forecast to sink further south as the week progress, delivering additional ‘swings between extremes‘ to those provinces that have been contending with long stretches of scorching summer heat.

The chill has already invaded the provinces of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei–last weekend–where more than 20x new *monthly* low temperature records were set on Saturday, August 27 alone–many that had stood since the 1970s–another period of relatively low solar activity.

More of the same is on the cards as we enter September:

GFS 2m Temp Anomalies (C) –Arctic air pushing south– Sept 4 [tropicaltidbits.com]


DMI

A quick word on the Danish Meteorological Institute…

Following August 29’s unprecedented 7 Gigaton SMB gain on Greenland, the DMI’s website is now experiencing “technical problems” — I can;t access it.

We are approaching the end of the season–with the new one commencing Sept 1–so perhaps the unscheduled downtime is related to maintenance or an update. However, given the DMI’s recent track record (see links below), who knows…

Let’s see what shape the Greenland SMB chart is in once the site is back up.


UPDATE: The DMI’s website is back up and running; crucially, the datasets remain unaltered. In fact, the latest Greenland SMB gains have actually managed to eclipse Monday’s, climbing to an unprecedented 8.5 Gigatons:

[DMI]


Sun

And finally, despite the active region AR3089, with its ‘beta-gamma’ magnetic field posing an ongoing flaring threat, the Earth-facing solar disc has fallen eerily quiet today, August 31:


A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) did billow away from the farside of the sun yesterday, and it was spectacular, but the ejection is on course to miss Earth, fortunately, and instead land a direct hit on Venus.

Coronagraphs onboard the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) captured the full halo storm cloud:


The Venus impact (expected on Sept 1) will not cause a geomagnetic storm. It can’t. Venus has no internally-generated global magnetic field. Rather, the impact will erode some atmosphere from the planet’s unprotected cloudtops–a process that does not occur on Earth.

NASA modelling of the CME. Venus is the green dot. Earth is the yellow dot.


The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).

Prepare accordingly — learn the facts, relocate if need be, and grow your own.

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