Crop Loss 

Cold Records Fall In Western Australia As Rare Third La Niña Builds; 4 Feet Of Snow Forecast For Southern Andes; Bermuda And Puerto Rico Chill; + Global Grain Stocks Cut (again)

Cold Records Fall In Western Australia

The Antarctic air currently residing over Western Australia has resulted in a host of busted temperature records.

Benchmarks for ‘lowest maximum temperatures’ have been tumbling this week.

In Telfer, for example, located at 21S, record-low highs of between 9C (48.2F) and 12C (53.2F) have been noted.

While snow has settled on the Stirling Range:


…As Rare Third La Niña Build

There remain vast areas of the central/astern Pacific Ocean experiencing below average sea surface temperatures. Patterns there remain quite ‘La Niña like’ and are well-placed to fire us back into full-blown La Nina conditions.

Some models put a 65% chance on this occurring, which is significant, and would result in a rare triple La Niña event (the fourth since 1900).

Stronger than usual easterly trade winds have continued across much of the western Pacific this southern hemisphere winter–a pattern typical with La Nina–which points to a higher potential for moisture to push in from the Pacific Ocean along the east coast as we move towards Australia’s spring.

Also, La Niña looks set to combine with a negative Indian Ocean Dipole (IDO)–peak due Sept/Oct–which bolsters the chances of a wetter than usual spring Down Under: a strong negative IDO typically correlate with an earlier start to the storm season.

Sky News Australia puts it bluntly: “it’s wet and it’s going to stay wet for at least another six months.”

The Bureau of Meteorology declared the most recent event over in June; however, as is often the case when it comes to the BoM, Mother Nature is doing the opposite — the rain has kept coming and the Pacific has cooled again during the past few weeks.

The atmosphere is responding to the change in ocean temperatures, and, as discussed above, all major Pacific indicators are signalling La Niña, including:


* SSTs below average

* Trade winds stronger than normal with cloud cover near International Dateline below normal

* Southern Oscillation Index is strongly positive and well beyond the La Niña threshold

* Sub-surface Pacific temperatures are cooling


It’s no surprise then that the US’s NOAA along with Japanese agencies have set the Pacific status at a rare third La Niña. Indeed, the oceanic phenomenon likely spells larger headaches for meteorologists, and indeed authorities, across the northern hemisphere: La Niña’s are linked to colder-than-average winters with increased snowfall across much of the NH, including North America and Europe–something the EU will be praying to doesn’t manifest given its particularly-dire energy outlook.


Bermuda And Puerto Rico Chill

July 2022 in Bermuda finished with an average temperature of 27.2C (81F), which is -0.2C below the 1971-2000 baseline (a historically cold era).

And similarly in Puerto Rico, located a 10-hour flight to the south, the Caribbean island and unincorporated U.S. territory averaged 83F (28.3C), which is -0.3F below the multidecadal average.


4 Feet Of Snow Forecast For Southern Andes

A monstrous winter storm is on track to slam into the southern Andes today, lasting into next week. By Tuesday, most ranges and resorts will see snow totals of 4+ feet, with some spots expecting 6+ feet.

Large, deep troughs are rotating a series of four shortwave troughs over the Southern halves of Argentina and Chile, each rich with subtropical moisture and all subject to pooling polar air–a combination which threatens to fuel a record-breaking snow event.

The initial shortwaves pushed into the region Thursday, and have already delivered dense snow to high and low elevations alike. Directly behind the first wave is an even colder airmass, on course to push in early Friday and stay in place through the weekend.

The second shortwave will have arrived by Friday morning. It will combine with the initial waves and frigid air to deliver a greater moisture surge. This see more widespread snow sweep the southern Andes.

The third shortwave trough will bring yet more heavy and widespread snow Saturday through Sunday; while the fourth and final shortwave will rotate through Monday, which looks to be a case of saving the best until last. The finale will pack the biggest punch,the wave looks to have the most moisture of the series and, as a result, threanes to dump the heaviest accumulations.

As reported by snowbrains.com, the four major global deterministic models –the ECMWF, GFS, GDPS, and ICON– and their ensemble counterparts are putting the ‘bullseye’ just to the northeast of Gulf de Ancud:

Southern South America ECMWF Snowfall Map, through Aug 14, 2022 [map.weatherbell.com].


Looking further ahead, additional rounds of heavy snowfall are on the cards next week as another polar trough looms.

All of this snow will undoubtedly send records tumbling, just as the accumulations did last month, an all; totals that helped drive South America’s snow extent to all-time highs:


Also worth mentioning: Argentina’s entire Autumn season (March-April-May) was the nation’s coldest since 1976 (solar minimum of weak cycle 20), and those anomalous chills–and the snow flurries they’re causing–have clearly persisted into winter and aren’t set to abate anytime soon.

These are realities the MSM purposefully ignore.

The likes of CNN and the BBC, et al., go out of their way to assure such inconvenient climatic phenomena go unreported. This further misinform a public already blinded to the natural ‘balancing act’ our planet routinely plays: hot in one region (Western Europe, for example), and fiercely cold in another (most recently, South America).

The problem for the AGW Party, however, is that they’re having to ignore pretty much ALL of the southern hemisphere this winter, because wherever you look, from South America to Australia, SH landed masses, and indeed the oceans, are experiencing historic and prolonged chills.


The mainstream media’s aim–their order received from ‘on high’–is to make the general population fearful of standard summer heat, to condition them into believing that heatwaves are a new, increasingly-destructive climatic phenomenon.

This is patently untrue, of course, as revealed by the data. Heatwaves are most certainly not new; and in any case, Western Europe’s high temperatures over the past few weeks can be explained by an African plume riding anomalous far north on the back of a weak and wavy ‘Meridional‘ jet stream flow which itself is the result of a bout of historically low solar activity.

To that point, EVERYTHING can be explained by natural forcings — Brothers Grimm fairy-tales are not required, nor are the wholly deficient yet economically painful environmental policies enforced by green-hamstrung politicians, policies that do nothing but transfer yet more wealth ‘up’.

This is seemingly their end goal: to price the middle class out of existence.

They want a two-tier economy: the 99% vs 1%.


Global Grain Stocks Cut (again)

Food shortages, in combination with an energy crisis, are the key components in their aforementioned plot. A population on its knees, hungry and cold, will dutifully accept any new system put in front of it, no matter how draconian: if it fills their bellies and sees the energy flow again then it’ll simply be a case of, “Where do I sign? Be damned with the small print!”.

Wheat

Agricensus’ monthly survey of analysts has seen global ending stocks (for wheat) nudge lower, again. Globally, on average, analysts polled are projecting stocks to continue to decrease, by 100,000 mt to 267 million mt.

In the US, and ahead of the latest USDA’s crop report (due to be released 12:00 ET Aug 12), the winter wheat harvest was reported as being 86% complete as of the week ending Aug 7, which is behind the 94% during the same week last year. While elsewhere, the spring wheat crop harvest was reported at 9% complete, down from 35% in 2021.

Turning attention to the Black Sea.

While the media made much of the first grain-filled vessel setting off from the Ukraine since February, the payload has been rejected after inspection at its destined port — the grain was found to be black and moldy and not even suitable for animal feed.

At 81.5 million mt, the USDA’s outlook for Russian wheat production also continues to look poor, where cold and wet conditions continue to hamper the yield. The harvest is also running well behind schedule due to the inclement weather.

Corn

Switching back to the United States, but focusing now on corn, the USDA is set to further downgrade US crop conditions and rein in its overall production figure in the days ahead as hot and dry conditions across the country’s main producing regions threaten immature crops that had a late start due to a persistently-frigid spring.

“West-central areas will see limited rain for the corn belt,” Terry Reilly, senior grain and oilseed commodity analyst at Futures International, told Agricensus. “We expect to see western corn belt states post a decline in good/excellent ratings,” he added.

Nationally, corn conditions were noted at 58% in good-to-excellent condition in the week ended August 7; this is the with the USDA ‘holding back’ somewhat on the truth, too, as they often do in times of concern. But even with this unrealistic, rose-tinted picture, 58% is still down from the 61% that we were at last week, and down significantly from the 64% a year earlier.

Any reduction in corn production would have a negative impact on farmers raising livestock, market participants said. These regions are “feeding areas so the poorer crops there mean higher basis levels and pressure feed margins for cattle growers,” said Jeffrey McPike of McWheat Inc.

Enjoy your weekend.

Don’t underestimate the threat posed by this coming NH winter.

Prepare: stock up.

The COLD TIMES are returning, the mid-latitudes are REFREEZING in line with historically low solar activitycloud-nucleating Cosmic Rays, and a meridional jet stream flow (among many other forcings, including the impending release of the Beaufort Gyre).

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24 Thoughts to “Cold Records Fall In Western Australia As Rare Third La Niña Builds; 4 Feet Of Snow Forecast For Southern Andes; Bermuda And Puerto Rico Chill; + Global Grain Stocks Cut (again)”

  1. Y.D. Robinson

    Chances are that if I tell someone in the AGW crowd that there’s plenty of cold weather in some areas at the same time that there are heat waves in other areas, they’ll just point out some article that says that just because the weather is cold somewhere that it doesn’t mean there isn’t “climate change” going on. An example article might be the following: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/environment/article/climate-change-colder-winters-global-warming-polar-vortex

    1. Martin Kunstmann

      I think the easiest way to counter their arguments is to ask them “Wheres the proof (good hard scientific Proof of the causes for climate change? As a retired scientist, I know there is no legitiment proof. I also know that studies have been done in the atmosphere that indicate the purported causes for climate change are not true.

    2. Ice Age Eugenics Now.info

      The Great Global Warming Swindle (Documentary) (2007)
      https://youtu.be/pIRICfZOvpY

      Eugenicists don’t need to, or want to, for strategic purposes explain their agenda or pretend to be in anyway rational to appease their targets, the walking dead/oblivious.

      By way of deception thou shalt do war : motto of Israeli intelligence service MOSSAD.
      https://www.worldcat.org/title/by-way-of-deception-thou-shalt-do-war-motto-of-israeli-intelligence-service-mossad/oclc/926292247

      We are in a global war on population [they want you dead] so why pretend otherwise? .

      1. .

        The Great Global Warming Swindle
        Some have called The Great Global Warming Swindle the definitive retort to Al Gore’s An Inconvenient Truth. Using a comprehensive range of evidence it’s claimed that warming over the past 300 years represents a natural recovery from a ‘little ice age’.

        According to the program humans do have an effect on climate but it’s infinitesimally small compared with the vast natural forces which are constantly pushing global temperatures this way and that. From melting glaciers and rising sea levels, The Great Global Warming Swindle debunks the myths, and exposes what may well prove to be the darkest chapter in the history of mankind. According to a group of leading scientists brought together by documentary maker Martin Durkin everything you’ve ever been told about global warming is probably untrue. Just as we’ve begun to take it for granted that climate change is a man-made phenomenon, Durkin’s documentary slays the whole premise of global warming.

        “Global warming has become a story of huge political significance; environmental activists using scare tactics to further their cause; scientists adding credence to secure billions of dollars in research money; politicians after headlines and a media happy to play along. No-one dares speak against it for risk of being unpopular, losing funds and jeopardizing careers.”

        Jay – 03/09/2022 at 04:08
        One of the things that should be a sign to all in regards to whether or not man made global warming is a serious thing are the statements that “The science is settled”, followed by a refusal to debate the subject with legitimate scientists who hold an opposing view. Eugenics works… and it’s OK.
        https://topdocumentaryfilms.com/great-global-warming-swindle/

      2. Deb

        Sounds like the Koran, which encourages the deception of non-Muslims.

    3. Ice Age Eugenics Now.info

      Corona Investigative Committee Founder Exposes Lies Behind COVID-19 “Pandemic”
      From these interviews, he gained vital information from professors and doctors confirming that the PCR test “can under absolutely no circumstances tell us anything about infections, because it can’t distinguish between dead and live matter.”
      Further investigation conducted by Dr. Fuellmich revealed that the World Health Organization (WHO) intentionally utilized improper
      testing procedures and false positive test results to create evidence that facilitated the process of declaring COVID-19 a Public Health
      Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC), “and that is what they needed in order to be able to use untested new drugs on
      people, the so-called vaccines.”
      Dr. Corson remarked, “One thing I found so fascinating when this [pandemic] started to unfold was not only was it America, Canada,
      Australia, New Zealand, and the Western European countries that all went in lockstep, it was almost almost all countries that went in
      lockstep, even South American countries and some of the African countries. Never before in the history of humanity have we seen
      almost all the countries in the world go together in lockstep.”
      Dr. Fuellmich responded, saying there is a globalist agenda being pushed by the World Economic Forum (WEF) and its Young Global
      Leaders Program. The Corona Investigative Committee is expanding their scope of research, he added, “because this is not just about
      corona, [it’s about] Ukraine, food shortages, geoengineering, global warming. That’s all part of the game, it’s all part of their agenda.
      So the investigative committee needs to look into all of these things. We always have to see the whole picture, take all the evidence and look at the whole picture, and the whole picture is a very evil agenda.”
      https://www.theepochtimes.com/corona-investigative-committee-founder-exposes-lies-behind-covid-19-pandemic_4646963.html?utm_source=mixi

      So for (likely temporary) strategic purposes…
      https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/news-page/news-nation/and-just-like-that-it-s-over-cdc-fully-caves-to-reality

      Latest HTRS News Headlines
      https://halturnerradioshow.com/index.php/en/

  2. Mystic’s. Mystic

    Giant question. In the opinion of anyone listening & reading. When the government openly creates an army of armed IRS androids. Aren’t they really creating sacrificial lambs that take the bullet while the people that set this evil threat and future confrontation in motion are sitting back sipping martinis 🍸and contemplating unleashing our all volunteer mad dog military on the peaceful citizens of the United States. The very people that they (congress) have so much disdain for. Shouldn’t there be poison, figuratively speaking, in the martinis of the scum that hatched this idea. If they can crash a president’s house can’t they crash into yours? The super predator elites in our government are at it again. Taking from the poor giving to the rich, just this time using guns instead of viruses 🦠. What excuse do they have? Over spending on a fantasy called global warming. Thanks Michael Mann! Now you have some idea what the fallout of a simpleton hypothesis can be.

  3. Dallas Schneider

    https://www.accuweather.com/en/space-news/get-your-telescope-ready-for-the-saturn-opposition-aug-14/1230059

    Earth-Saturn Opposition occurs 14 August 2022 in two days.
    At that time Saturn’s gravity will have the most pull on earth away from the sun.
    Jupiter’s occurs next month, 26th Sept. These two will line up with Uranus & Neptune in Oct 2024 to really pull us out of orbit.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VblusvRZ7wA
    “Mini Ice Age 2024 Maths- Its not good news – Milankovitch Cycles”

    1. Dirk Pitt

      With an elliptical orbit we’ll we be closer to the sun next spring with X flares hitting our weakened mag shield causing more nagging about climate change?
      Next month prior to going by Jupiter we’ll have Mercury in retrograde with possible X flares-hurricanes/typhoons and more climate change nagging? Same as it ever was… https://simsolar.soft32.com/
      Electrons up, no hurricanes or typhoons:
      http://www.solen.info/solar/images/electronfluence.png
      https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane
      Skiing is still open at Mt Hood: https://www.timberlinelodge.com/conditions
      No hurricanes here this Fall, go fish:
      https://skagit.craigslist.org/boa/d/oak-harbor-uniflite-sport-sedan/7518171004.html

  4. PistolPete

    In light of the global cooling scenario, what’s going on here out West and in Europe with all the rivers and lakes drying up??

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-11105177/Europe-drought-France-forced-call-reinforcements-tackle-wildfire.html

    1. Cap Allon

      Weak jet stream: research ‘meridional flow’.

      1. matt dalby

        Add to that overuse of water because of a growing population, poor forest management due to pressure from environmentalists leading to a build up of fuel, a bit of arson etc. and a lot of events that the media is happy to blame on climate change actually have other causes.
        With respect to the drought in the American West it’s well known that La Nina years see reduced precipitation in the West, and especially South West, so a 3rd consecutive La Nina is really bad news for those areas, but is an unusual although entirely natural event.

    2. Anthony

      Cooling doesn’t stop droughts, warming doesn’t stop droughts. They come when they come and don’t when they don’t.

      Anyway, Northern England is not in a drought as it rained for a full week just over two weeks ago. Our grass turned back green and is looking good.Speaking of which, I need to cut the stuff this morning as it’s getting long again…… Oh and the weather forcast is ten days of rain from Monday……

  5. Michael Peinsipp

    “Don’t underestimate the threat posed by this coming NH winter.
    Prepare: stock up.”

    If this Winter is similar to 1978….I need MORE wood for the stove…and add twice that on top!
    I lived in Louisville KY at that time and we got 1-3″ ice and 12-30″ snow.
    Only one forecaster got it correct…Chuck Taylor!!!
    The other ‘weathermen’ kissed his feet after that and I took two of his classes at U of L.
    If he said it was going to rain people bought umbrellas, if he said it was going to be sunny people bought sunglasses…Chuck was 99% correct 100% of the time.
    I was in the National guard back than and trust me it was bad. The only vehicles moving were our jeeps and private 4 wheelers. They were offered FREE gas to help. Most refused cuz they loved showing off their trucks!
    Trust Cap and stock up on all needed items to survive for up to 1 month MINIMUM!

    1. Deb

      My comment below was supposed to be in response to yours, but it got caught up in some twisted technological dance between my hinky signal and this website, and was deposited below.
      Anyway, looks like I’ll have firewood for this winter. Now all I need is the woodstove. Actually, I have one. It’s the installation that’s needed.

  6. Albin

    I thought La nina’s actually strengthen the jet stream and usually give europe quite mild wet winters but with a cold start to it, the colder winters are often the ones with a weak el nino which promotes high latitude blocking but i can be wrong?

    1. matt dalby

      La Nina’s (and El Nino’s) have the greatest and most obvious effects on those countries surrounding the Pacific, but as far as I know the effects in Europe are much smaller and even meteorologists are unsure how important they are, compared with other climate conditions, in determining winter weather in Europe. One of the main precursors for a really cold spell in Western Europe is sudden Stratospheric Warming over the arctic, and as far as i know no one can predict these events more than 10-14 days in advance.

  7. jopeck

    La nina causes snow in Europe? Yes we saw that in the last 2 winters…. Lmfao

  8. William Best

    Reference Y.D. Robinson’s comment, Aug.12, perhaps one could have some fun with the CAGW blockheads by suggesting that because CO2 causes total global warming that maybe by explaining diurnal (daily) heating and cooling every 24 hours is not due to the Sun but to an isotope of Carbon Dioxide which I call Carbon Diurnoxide which, analogous to Dark Matter(?), constantly flows around the world in the jet streams preceding sunrises and sunsets allowing for the rapid warming in the mornings and a much slower cooling in the evening that we see every day. Carbon Diurnoxide ( CDO2) will weigh slightly more than CO2 possibly due to it’s similar physical properties to cow flatulence. If they buy the initial nonsense of CO2 causing global warming, this will be an easy sell and make them look even more foolish if that is possible. Just trying to help here.

  9. Dirk Pitt

    Electron flux above threshold the last three days is not weak sun:
    https://dpa-images.s3.amazonaws.com/goes_electron.png
    http://www.solen.info/solar/images/electronfluence.png
    Fifth highest solar wind speed in the last year:
    http://solen.info/solar/images/swind.png
    All that hitting our weakened mag shield cranks the temp up and they’re trying to fix that by reducing something that blocks the sun. Backasswards waste of money and lives. No water, no food, no electricity. Glad I’m not stuck in the EU:
    https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?awp_0_40,2022081200,48.705,10.151,5
    Cool La Nina ocean water upwelling is chasing warmer water elsewhere. It’s heat driven. Hot Indian Ocean means cool Equatorial Pacific. Right now heat is N and Centarl Pacific, the Blob is back. Heat rising and cooler water upwelling to replace it. S Pac, heat from volcanos rolling past NZ east and cold currents up from Antarctic to S Oz. Same pattern, heat driven from solar activity.
    https://www.ospo.noaa.gov/data/cb/ssta/ssta.daily.current.png
    https://coralreefwatch.noaa.gov/data/5km/v3.1/current/animation/gif/ssta_animation_90day_large.gif
    Heat is pushing the jet stream N into the Gulf of Alaska and they get all the West Coast’s precip. Heat from solar activity and volcanos from solar activity drives the machine. This is a moderate La Nina because the Indian O never got all that hot to drive the machine, Pacific volcanos won the heat contest and interrupted the pattern which persists, moderate La Nina:
    https://www.windy.com/-Show—add-more-layers/overlays?rainAccu,next10d,54.355,-135.308,5
    https://ggweather.com/enso/oni1990.png

  10. Dr Tim Ball - Climatologist

    Dr Tim Ball – Historical Climatologist

    Book: ‘The Deliberate Corruption of Climate Science’
    Book: ‘Human Caused Global Warming, the Biggest Deception in History’
    https://www.technocracy.news/dr-tim-ball-on-climate-lies-wrapped-in-deception-smothered-with-delusion/
    https://www.technocracy.news/tim-ball-the-evidence-proves-that-co2-is-not-a-greenhouse-gas

  11. Deb

    God dropped a tree in my front yard, right between my cabin and my Jimmy. How’s that for divine provision of firewood?

  12. TW

    Do any of you have a recommended long range weather forecase? I actually tried Piers Corbyn’s ‘weatheraction’ for the winter of 2019/2020 as I’d heard he was some sort of weather oracle and was very encouraged by his skepticism of AGW. Unfortunately although I agree with his stance, the forecasting was dreadful.

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