A Novel Look at Global Hurricane Data Reveals No Trend

Cap Allon

Experienced data analyst, 10-year Wall Street veteran, and self-proclaimed “Mrs. Smarty Pants” Zoe Phin of phzoe.com takes a look at the alarmists’ claim that “increasing CO2 emissions are leading to more frequent and intense hurricanes”.

Phin has already tackled Atlantic hurricanes (linked here), finding no trend.

Now, she analyzes the global data.

And while it is true that the number of detected hurricanes has increased, this is due to better sensing technology, writes Phin on her blog.

It stands that there are far better ways to count the frequency of hurricanes besides mere detection. Does it make sense to count a 6-hr Category 3 storm the same as a 42-hr Category 3 storm…?

“Storm 1” and “Storm 2” are bot classified as Category 3, but the Cat3 status is unequal in time.


No, of course not. It doesn’t make sense at all. Such a thing would be misleading. But that is exactly what climate alarmists do.

The best way to tackle this question, according to Zoe Phin, would be to count the hours spent at certain wind speed categories.

And this is exactly what she did.

So, without further ado, here are the results from ‘the best hurricane data in the world’…

[Note: 10yr CMA means 10-Year Centered Moving Average]

Category 1 is cyclic/no-trend:


Category 2 had increased, but dropped during the past 25 years:


Category 3 had increased, but dropped during the past 25 years; while Category 4 is cyclic/no-trend:


And Category 5 has actually DECREASED:


Featured below is the combined data for Category 1,2,3,4,5 hurricanes.

Overall, it reveals no trend — just natural, cyclical motions:


Zoe Phin’s results will come as no surprise to those privy to the actual data, which routinely contradict the propagandizing bleats released by the IPCC and their MSM lapdogs. And adding support to Phin’s findings, a host of other leading scientists have reached very similar conclusions — that is, that hurricanes have not been getting stronger or more frequent in recent decades.

For example, here’s Klotzbach et al (2018):


And here’s NOAA’s Dr. Ryan Maue, who cites Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. re global cyclone activity since 1970:


The alarmists’ claim is that greenhouse gases create more energy for hurricanes, writes Phin.

Well, she asks, “where exactly is all that extra energy for hurricanes?”

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