A Novel Look at Global Hurricane Data Reveals No Trend
Experienced data analyst, 10-year Wall Street veteran, and self-proclaimed “Mrs. Smarty Pants” Zoe Phin of phzoe.com takes a look at the alarmists’ claim that “increasing CO2 emissions are leading to more frequent and intense hurricanes”.
Phin has already tackled Atlantic hurricanes (linked here), finding no trend.
Now, she analyzes the global data.
And while it is true that the number of detected hurricanes has increased, this is due to better sensing technology, writes Phin on her blog.
It stands that there are far better ways to count the frequency of hurricanes besides mere detection. Does it make sense to count a 6-hr Category 3 storm the same as a 42-hr Category 3 storm…?
No, of course not. It doesn’t make sense at all. Such a thing would be misleading. But that is exactly what climate alarmists do.
The best way to tackle this question, according to Zoe Phin, would be to count the hours spent at certain wind speed categories.
And this is exactly what she did.
So, without further ado, here are the results from ‘the best hurricane data in the world’…
[Note: 10yr CMA means 10-Year Centered Moving Average]
Category 1 is cyclic/no-trend:
Category 2 had increased, but dropped during the past 25 years:
Category 3 had increased, but dropped during the past 25 years; while Category 4 is cyclic/no-trend:
And Category 5 has actually DECREASED:
Featured below is the combined data for Category 1,2,3,4,5 hurricanes.
Overall, it reveals no trend — just natural, cyclical motions:
Zoe Phin’s results will come as no surprise to those privy to the actual data, which routinely contradict the propagandizing bleats released by the IPCC and their MSM lapdogs. And adding support to Phin’s findings, a host of other leading scientists have reached very similar conclusions — that is, that hurricanes have not been getting stronger or more frequent in recent decades.
For example, here’s Klotzbach et al (2018):
And here’s NOAA’s Dr. Ryan Maue, who cites Dr. Roger Pielke Jr. re global cyclone activity since 1970:
The alarmists’ claim is that greenhouse gases create more energy for hurricanes, writes Phin.
Well, she asks, “where exactly is all that extra energy for hurricanes?”
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19 Thoughts to “A Novel Look at Global Hurricane Data Reveals No Trend”
Hi Cap, i been following you for a long time and i admire your work.
I dont trust in global agendas but i have a question.
Im from northern Spain, and although this is a hot country in summer, this one has ben extremely hot, and we are in October and temperatures still pretty above average for this time off the year. How this situation can be explained?
If you’ve followed Electroverse for a long time you should have noticed he describes the meridional (wavy) jet stream almost every week. This is a major factor is some places experiencing relative heat and others relative cold. Lower solar activity leads to the jet stream buckling.
Thank you for your response
I Hope that It is only temporary and we could get some snow this winter
Thank you! This type of reporting simply doesn’t happen in modern media. Real science using real data is missing in virtually all of this new activist, emotional driven agendas of the 21st century “1984” political mechanisms.
hmm, PHIN, huh? Too close to Putin for my tinfoil hat. That crafty rascal has created another of his 10 billion bots to screw with the west and its fiat benevolence. Joe Buttwash told me clearly that this last hurricane proved everything is going to hell because of carbon dioxide, and he would never lie, or cheat, or lie, or poison, or lie, or steal, or lie, or bomb, or lie, or attack, or ….
The unfortunate circumstance in current hurricanes especially in the Gulf of Mexico is rapid development just before landfall. Hurricanes Harvey, Andrew, Ida & Ian developed late and were in their gathering strength phase when they reached landfall. For what ever reason waves off of Africa are not developing until just a couple of days before landfall. I think if they hit their peak in the open ocean they would be winding down before landfall like hurricane Katrina did. Katrina went
From cat 5 to cat 3 before landfall.
How old are you Sir?
50…25…5000 yrs old?
Cyclical…remember that Sir.
Idiocy is Cyclical as well…remember that “Church Lady/Sir.”.
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Lol! But I’m still going to get you for that.
Charlie Aug 13
Irma Sept 10
Ian Sept 28
Almost out of time to have any more!
Day after Ian Florida Sky temp dropped to 20 F!!!
In the dry season now!
Personal note: Electric Power restored yesterday,!
Still no internet cable!
On new Device on 5 G at coffee shop!
Eliminate Climate Change!
Send Hurricanes Biden & Fake News Media Out to Sea!!
Bring in Trump Disaster Relief Team to
repair, Rescue & restore American
from the loss of power and devastation!!!
Great summary report makes the no trend hurricane-wise case Cap’n Quixdraw. We had super cold/snowy winters and many blistering hot summers up here in AB in the ’60/70s…. with mostly deep blue skies [sometimes totally cloud-free all day] with white “puffy” clouds often with atmospheric visibility/clarity that let us see 130 miles/209 km all the way from Medicine Hat down to the Sweet Grass Hills of Montana on clear day. Be nice to see no some no trend/reverse trend back to those good old pre-chemtrail days again too.
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“The alarmists’ claim is that greenhouse gases create more energy for hurricanes”
This is absolute nonsense – greenhouse gases “create” ZERO energy. All they do is recycle a small portion of the incident solar radiation at lower intensity.
Climate “science” is straight out JUNK SCIENCE – there is no other way to describe it.
Idiots at NASA have posted garbage like this quote :-
“The natural greenhouse effect raises the Earth’s surface temperature to about 15 degrees Celsius on average-more than 30 degrees warmer than it would be if it didn’t have an atmosphere. The amount of heat radiated from the atmosphere to the surface (sometimes called “back radiation) is equivalent to 100 percent of the incoming solar energy. The Earth’s surface responds to the “extra” (on top of direct solar heating) energy by raising its temperature.”
These people are so stupid they actually believe “The amount of heat radiated from the atmosphere to the surface (sometimes called “back radiation) is equivalent to 100 percent of the incoming solar energy.”
The atmospheric radiation can heat something to the same temperature as the sun can – TOTAL BS !
Just look at the data from the Moon.
The Sun heats the Moon’s surfaces to ~120°C near the equator.
According to these idiots if the Moon it could reach ~194°C.
There really is no way people who believe in the Junk Science can claim to be educated rational beings capable of anything other than group think.